OptionRun
Real options valuation

Price the value of waiting.

Static NPV assumes you decide today and never change course. OptionRun prices the flexibility it ignores — the option to wait, expand, or walk away — with the same numerical methods that price financial options.

View the source
4 decision types3 cross-checked pricersGreeks55 tests
40 simulated paths · median
Verdict
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Value of flexibility
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Static NPV
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Real option value
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Pricing the sample decision…

iAmerican · exact boundary
Cox-Ross-Rubinstein lattice

Backward induction over a recombining binomial tree with early exercise at every node; yields the exercise boundary.

iiRegression · independent
Longstaff-Schwartz Monte Carlo

Least-squares regression of continuation value across thousands of paths — a different algorithm that cross-checks the lattice.

iiiEuropean limit · oracle
Black-Scholes closed form

The analytic European value — a floor (American ≥ European) and the convergence limit the lattice is verified against.

1

Choose a decision

You could sign a lease and build out a second location today, or wait up to 2 years while demand becomes clearer. Waiting costs you — rent inflation, a competitor could move first — but it also means you invest only once the picture is clearer.

2

Set the inputs

Drag a file in, or estimate volatility from a 'revenue' / 'amount' column.
Decision
Market assumptions